Fixtures/October 2026/10–12 October
Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest prediction
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Our analysis
Our model makes Crystal Palace narrow favourites at home to Nottingham Forest at Selhurst Park on Sunday 11 October 2026: Palace 40%, draw 27%, Nottm Forest 33%. The most likely score is 2–1, with 2.8 goals expected in total (54% chance of three or more; 58% that both teams score).
Palace are 15th on 4 points from 5 games and have won 1 and drawn 1 of their last 6 league games. Over their last 10 they created 1.5 expected goals a game and allowed 2.2. Nottm Forest are 13th on 5 points from 5 games and have won 1 and drawn 3 of their last 6 league games. Over their last 10 they created 1.8 expected goals a game and allowed 1.5.
In their last 6 Premier League meetings, Palace won 0, Nottm Forest won 1 and 5 were drawn. The most recent finished Nottm Forest 1–1 Palace (2025-26).
Our AI second opinion, Jev, agrees: it rates Palace win most likely at 37% (Palace 37%, draw 30%, Nottm Forest 33%).
Second opinions
| Source | Palace | Draw | Nottm Forest | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stats model | 40% | 27% | 33% | 2–1 |
| Jev (AI) | 37% | 30% | 33% | 2–1 |
| Consensus | 38% | 29% | 33% | – |
Jev is an AI model from TypeSafe AI. It reads a written briefing (the table, each side's last 12 results with expected goals, home and away records, head-to-head) and answers three yes/no questions. It never sees our model or the odds. Consensus averages the two. Bookmaker closing odds, with the margin removed, appear after the game as a benchmark.
Every scoreline
| CRY ↓ NOT → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Palace's goals down the side, Nottm Forest's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Palace form
DLWLLL latest first
Nottm Forest form
LWDDLD latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Nottm Forest | 1–1 | 
Palace |
| 2025-26 |
Palace | 1–1 |
Nottm Forest |
| 2024-25 |
Palace | 1–1 |
Nottm Forest |
| 2024-25 |
Nottm Forest | 1–0 |
Palace |
| 2023-24 |
Nottm Forest | 1–1 |
Palace |
| 2023-24 |
Palace | 0–0 |
Nottm Forest |
Questions
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Our statistical model says Crystal Palace are favourites: Palace win 40%, draw 27%, Nottm Forest win 33%. The AI model Jev gives 37%, 30% and 33%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Palace 2–1 Nottm Forest is our predicted score, with 1.5–1.3 expected goals. The chance of over 2.5 goals is 54% and of both teams scoring 58%.
When and where is Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Sunday 11 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UK time, at Selhurst Park. It's a Premier League match.
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest?
The last meeting was Nottingham Forest 1–1 Crystal Palace in 2025-26. Recent Premier League meetings: Nottm Forest 1–1 Palace (2025-26); Palace 1–1 Nottm Forest (2025-26); Palace 1–1 Nottm Forest (2024-25); Nottm Forest 1–0 Palace (2024-25); Nottm Forest 1–1 Palace (2023-24).