Liverpool v Newcastle United prediction
55%Liverpool win
22%Draw
23%Newcastle win
2.1–1.3Expected goals
68%Over 2.5 goals
66%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| LIV ↓ NEW → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Liverpool's goals down the side, Newcastle's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Liverpool form
WDWDDD latest first
Newcastle form
WLDWDL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 
Newcastle | 2–2 | 
Liverpool |
| 2025-26 |
Liverpool | 4–1 |
Newcastle |
| 2025-26 |
Newcastle | 2–3 |
Liverpool |
| 2024-25 |
Liverpool | 2–0 |
Newcastle |
| 2024-25 |
Newcastle | 3–3 |
Liverpool |
| 2023-24 |
Liverpool | 4–2 |
Newcastle |