Aston Villa v Newcastle United prediction
40%Aston Villa win
25%Draw
35%Newcastle win
1.7–1.6Expected goals
63%Over 2.5 goals
65%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 21:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| AVL ↓ NEW → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Aston Villa's goals down the side, Newcastle's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Aston Villa form
WLDLLW latest first
Newcastle form
WLDWDL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Newcastle | 0–2 | 
Aston Villa |
| 2025-26 |
Aston Villa | 0–0 |
Newcastle |
| 2024-25 |
Aston Villa | 4–1 |
Newcastle |
| 2024-25 |
Newcastle | 3–0 |
Aston Villa |
| 2023-24 |
Aston Villa | 1–3 |
Newcastle |
| 2023-24 |
Newcastle | 5–1 |
Aston Villa |