Clubs/Aston Villa
Premier League 2026-27 · Villa Park
Aston Villa
16th with 4 points from 5 games (W1 D1 L3, goals 4–9). Recent form WLDLLW
45Predicted points
13.7Average finish
0%Title
1%Top four
18%Relegation
Where Aston Villa could finish
1234567891011121314151617181920
Final position across 10,000 simulated seasons. Red = most likely.
Next fixtures
21
Brentford
37%25%37%
Sat 17 Oct 17:30
Newcastle
21
Aston Villa
48%24%28%
Sat 24 Oct 12:30
Aston Villa
12
Man City
25%24%51%
Sat 31 Oct 20:00
Aston Villa
21
Fulham
43%27%31%
Sun 8 Nov 16:30
Man United
21
Aston Villa
54%23%23%
| Date | Opponent | Win | Draw | Lose | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 21 Nov | 
v Sunderland |
40% | 27% | 33% | 2–1 |
| Sat 28 Nov | 
at Ipswich |
44% | 26% | 31% | 1–2 |
| Wed 2 Dec | 
v Everton |
39% | 28% | 33% | 2–1 |
| Sat 5 Dec | 
v Palace |
45% | 26% | 30% | 2–1 |
| Sat 12 Dec | 
at Coventry |
38% | 28% | 35% | 1–2 |
| Sat 19 Dec | 
at Chelsea |
27% | 23% | 49% | 2–1 |
| Sat 26 Dec | 
v Leeds |
35% | 27% | 38% | 1–2 |
| Wed 30 Dec | 
v Liverpool |
31% | 25% | 44% | 1–2 |
| Sat 2 Jan | 
at Bournemouth |
21% | 23% | 55% | 2–1 |
| Tue 5 Jan |
at Everton |
28% | 27% | 45% | 2–1 |
| Sat 16 Jan |
v Man United |
35% | 25% | 40% | 1–2 |
| Sat 23 Jan |
at Fulham |
31% | 27% | 43% | 2–1 |
| Sat 30 Jan |
v Ipswich |
57% | 23% | 20% | 2–1 |
| Sat 6 Feb |
at Sunderland |
28% | 27% | 45% | 2–1 |
| Wed 10 Feb |
v Bournemouth |
33% | 26% | 42% | 1–2 |
| Sat 20 Feb |
at Leeds |
24% | 25% | 51% | 2–1 |
| Sat 27 Feb |
v Chelsea |
40% | 25% | 36% | 2–1 |
| Wed 3 Mar |
at Liverpool |
20% | 22% | 58% | 2–1 |
| Sat 13 Mar | 
v Hull |
43% | 28% | 29% | 2–1 |
| Sat 20 Mar | 
at Nottm Forest |
29% | 27% | 44% | 2–1 |
| Sat 10 Apr | 
v Brighton |
33% | 26% | 42% | 1–2 |
| Sat 17 Apr | 
at Arsenal |
12% | 20% | 69% | 2–0 |
| Sat 24 Apr |
v Coventry |
50% | 26% | 24% | 2–1 |
| Sat 1 May |
at Palace |
32% | 26% | 42% | 2–1 |
| Sat 8 May |
at Brentford |
25% | 24% | 51% | 2–1 |
| Sat 15 May |
v Newcastle |
40% | 25% | 35% | 2–1 |
| Sun 23 May |
at Man City |
15% | 20% | 65% | 2–1 |
| Sun 30 May | 
v Tottenham |
47% | 25% | 28% | 2–1 |
Squad & spending
€572mSquad value · 12th
€300mSummer spend
−€65mSummer net spend
From Transfermarkt. Shown for context only: in testing, money added nothing beyond results and expected goals, so it isn't a model input (why).
Results vs predictions
23
Aston Villa
42%26%32%
Predicted 2–1 Missed
Sat 12 Sep FT
Aston Villa
12
Nottm Forest
43%27%30%
Predicted 2–1 Missed
Sat 5 Sep FT
Hull
00
Aston Villa
37%27%35%
Predicted 2–1 Missed
Mon 31 Aug FT
Aston Villa
01
Arsenal
21%25%53%
Predicted 0–1 Exact score
Sun 23 Aug FT
Brighton
40
Aston Villa
45%26%30%
Predicted 2–1 Right result
Questions
Where will Aston Villa finish in the 2026-27 Premier League?
Our simulations of the remaining fixtures give Aston Villa an average finish of 13.7 with 45 points. Title chance 0%, top four 1%, relegation 18%.
Will Aston Villa be relegated?
We put Aston Villa's relegation chance at 18%, from 10,000 simulated seasons starting from the current table.
What is Aston Villa's next match?
Aston Villa vs Brentford on Saturday 10 October 2026. We give Aston Villa a 37% chance of winning; the predicted score is 2–1.