Bournemouth v Manchester City prediction
35%Bournemouth win
25%Draw
40%Man City win
1.5–1.7Expected goals
62%Over 2.5 goals
64%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| BOU ↓ MCI → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Bournemouth's goals down the side, Man City's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Bournemouth form
LDDDLD latest first
Man City form
WWWWWL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 
Man City | 2–1 | 
Bournemouth |
| 2025-26 |
Bournemouth | 1–1 |
Man City |
| 2025-26 |
Man City | 3–1 |
Bournemouth |
| 2024-25 |
Man City | 3–1 |
Bournemouth |
| 2024-25 |
Bournemouth | 2–1 |
Man City |
| 2023-24 |
Bournemouth | 0–1 |
Man City |