Clubs/Manchester City
Premier League 2026-27 · Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
1st with 15 points from 5 games (W5 D0 L0, goals 13–5). Recent form WWWWWL
75Predicted points
2.0Average finish
38%Title
96%Top four
0%Relegation
Where Man City could finish
1234567891011121314151617181920
Final position across 10,000 simulated seasons. Red = most likely.
Next fixtures
12
Man City
37%25%38%
Sat 17 Oct 15:00
Man City
20
Ipswich
77%15%8%
Sat 24 Oct 12:30
Aston Villa
12
Man City
25%24%51%
Sat 31 Oct 15:00
Man City
21
Brighton
53%24%23%
Sat 7 Nov 17:30
Nottm Forest
12
Man City
26%26%49%
| Date | Opponent | Win | Draw | Lose | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 21 Nov | 
v Fulham |
63% | 21% | 15% | 2–0 |
| Sun 29 Nov | 
at Arsenal |
24% | 26% | 50% | 2–1 |
| Wed 2 Dec | 
v Leeds |
55% | 24% | 21% | 2–1 |
| Sat 5 Dec | 
at Brentford |
45% | 24% | 30% | 1–2 |
| Sat 12 Dec | 
v Chelsea |
62% | 20% | 18% | 2–1 |
| Sat 19 Dec | 
v Hull |
63% | 22% | 15% | 2–0 |
| Sat 26 Dec | 
at Newcastle |
48% | 24% | 28% | 1–2 |
| Tue 29 Dec | 
at Everton |
47% | 27% | 27% | 1–2 |
| Sun 3 Jan | 
v Tottenham |
68% | 19% | 13% | 2–1 |
| Wed 6 Jan |
at Leeds |
42% | 26% | 32% | 1–2 |
| Sat 16 Jan |
v Nottm Forest |
62% | 22% | 16% | 2–1 |
| Sat 23 Jan |
at Brighton |
40% | 26% | 35% | 1–2 |
| Sat 30 Jan |
v Arsenal |
35% | 28% | 37% | 1–2 |
| Sat 6 Feb |
at Fulham |
50% | 25% | 25% | 1–2 |
| Wed 10 Feb |
at Tottenham |
55% | 23% | 22% | 1–2 |
| Sat 20 Feb |
v Newcastle |
62% | 20% | 17% | 2–1 |
| Sat 27 Feb |
at Hull |
51% | 26% | 24% | 1–2 |
| Wed 3 Mar |
v Everton |
59% | 23% | 17% | 2–0 |
| Sat 13 Mar | 
at Coventry |
58% | 23% | 18% | 1–2 |
| Sat 20 Mar | 
v Man United |
56% | 23% | 22% | 2–1 |
| Sat 10 Apr | 
at Bournemouth |
40% | 25% | 35% | 1–2 |
| Sat 17 Apr | 
v Palace |
66% | 20% | 14% | 2–1 |
| Sat 24 Apr |
at Chelsea |
48% | 23% | 29% | 1–2 |
| Sat 1 May |
v Brentford |
59% | 22% | 19% | 2–1 |
| Sat 8 May |
v Liverpool |
52% | 23% | 25% | 2–1 |
| Sat 15 May |
at Ipswich |
65% | 20% | 15% | 1–2 |
| Sun 23 May |
v Aston Villa |
65% | 20% | 15% | 2–1 |
| Sun 30 May | 
at Sunderland |
47% | 26% | 27% | 1–2 |
Squad & spending
€1.43bnSquad value · 1st
€526mSummer spend
€189mSummer net spend
From Transfermarkt. Shown for context only: in testing, money added nothing beyond results and expected goals, so it isn't a model input (why).
Results vs predictions
53
Sunderland
62%23%15%
Predicted 2–0 Right result
Sun 13 Sep FT
Man United
01
Man City
31%25%44%
Predicted 1–2 Right result
Sat 5 Sep FT
Man City
10
Coventry
71%18%11%
Predicted 2–0 Right result
Fri 28 Aug FT
Palace
14
Man City
25%24%51%
Predicted 1–2 Right result
Sun 23 Aug FT
Man City
21
Bournemouth
56%23%22%
Predicted 2–1 Exact score
Questions
Where will Manchester City finish in the 2026-27 Premier League?
Our simulations of the remaining fixtures give Manchester City an average finish of 2.0 with 75 points. Title chance 38%, top four 96%, relegation 0%.
Will Manchester City finish in the top four?
We give Manchester City a 96% chance of a top-four finish (top five: 98%).
What is Manchester City's next match?
Liverpool vs Manchester City on Sunday 11 October 2026. We give Man City a 38% chance of winning; the predicted score is 1–2.