Fixtures/October 2026/10–12 October
Hull City v Everton prediction
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Our analysis
Our model makes Hull City narrow favourites at home to Everton at MKM Stadium on Sunday 11 October 2026: Hull 37%, draw 30%, Everton 33%. The most likely score is 1–0, with 2.4 goals expected in total (42% chance of three or more; 49% that both teams score).
Hull are 8th on 8 points from 5 games and have won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 6 league games. Over their last 10 they created 1.0 expected goals a game and allowed 1.8. Everton are 7th on 9 points from 5 games and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 6 league games. Over their last 10 they created 1.5 expected goals a game and allowed 1.6.
In their last 6 Premier League meetings, Hull won 1, Everton won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent finished Everton 4–0 Hull (2016-17).
Our AI second opinion, Jev, agrees: it rates Hull win most likely at 35% (Hull 35%, draw 29%, Everton 35%).
Second opinions
| Source | Hull | Draw | Everton | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stats model | 37% | 30% | 33% | 1–0 |
| Jev (AI) | 35% | 29% | 35% | 2–1 |
| Consensus | 36% | 30% | 34% | – |
Jev is an AI model from TypeSafe AI. It reads a written briefing (the table, each side's last 12 results with expected goals, home and away records, head-to-head) and answers three yes/no questions. It never sees our model or the odds. Consensus averages the two. Bookmaker closing odds, with the margin removed, appear after the game as a benchmark.
Every scoreline
| HUL ↓ EVE → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Hull's goals down the side, Everton's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Hull form
LDDWWL latest first
Everton form
WDDDWL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | 
Everton | 4–0 | 
Hull |
| 2016-17 |
Hull | 2–2 |
Everton |
| 2014-15 |
Hull | 2–0 |
Everton |
| 2014-15 |
Everton | 1–1 |
Hull |
| 2013-14 |
Hull | 0–2 |
Everton |
| 2013-14 |
Everton | 2–1 |
Hull |
Questions
Who will win Hull City vs Everton?
Our statistical model says Hull City are favourites: Hull win 37%, draw 30%, Everton win 33%. The AI model Jev gives 35%, 29% and 35%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Everton?
Hull 1–0 Everton is our predicted score, with 1.2–1.1 expected goals. The chance of over 2.5 goals is 42% and of both teams scoring 49%.
When and where is Hull City vs Everton?
Sunday 11 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UK time, at MKM Stadium. It's a Premier League match.
What is the head-to-head record between Hull City and Everton?
The last meeting was Everton 4–0 Hull City in 2016-17. Recent Premier League meetings: Everton 4–0 Hull (2016-17); Hull 2–2 Everton (2016-17); Hull 2–0 Everton (2014-15); Everton 1–1 Hull (2014-15); Hull 0–2 Everton (2013-14).