Liverpool v Aston Villa prediction
58%Liverpool win
22%Draw
20%Aston Villa win
2.1–1.2Expected goals
64%Over 2.5 goals
62%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| LIV ↓ AVL → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Liverpool's goals down the side, Aston Villa's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Liverpool form
WDWDDD latest first
Aston Villa form
WLDLLW latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Aston Villa | 4–2 | 
Liverpool |
| 2025-26 |
Liverpool | 2–0 |
Aston Villa |
| 2024-25 |
Aston Villa | 2–2 |
Liverpool |
| 2024-25 |
Liverpool | 2–0 |
Aston Villa |
| 2023-24 |
Aston Villa | 3–3 |
Liverpool |
| 2023-24 |
Liverpool | 3–0 |
Aston Villa |