Liverpool v Chelsea prediction
54%Liverpool win
22%Draw
24%Chelsea win
2.2–1.4Expected goals
70%Over 2.5 goals
68%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| LIV ↓ CHE → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Liverpool's goals down the side, Chelsea's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Liverpool form
WDWDDD latest first
Chelsea form
LDLWWL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Liverpool | 1–1 | 
Chelsea |
| 2025-26 |
Chelsea | 2–1 |
Liverpool |
| 2024-25 |
Chelsea | 3–1 |
Liverpool |
| 2024-25 |
Liverpool | 2–1 |
Chelsea |
| 2023-24 |
Liverpool | 4–1 |
Chelsea |
| 2023-24 |
Chelsea | 1–1 |
Liverpool |