Clubs/Chelsea
Premier League 2026-27 · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
10th with 7 points from 5 games (W2 D1 L2, goals 10–12). Recent form LDLWWL
53Predicted points
9.6Average finish
0%Title
11%Top four
3%Relegation
Where Chelsea could finish
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Final position across 10,000 simulated seasons. Red = most likely.
Next fixtures
| Date | Opponent | Win | Draw | Lose | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 21 Nov | 40% | 25% | 35% | 2–1 | |
| Fri 27 Nov | 34% | 26% | 41% | 2–1 | |
| Wed 2 Dec | 51% | 23% | 26% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 5 Dec | 36% | 24% | 40% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 12 Dec | 18% | 20% | 62% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 19 Dec | 49% | 23% | 27% | 2–1 | |
| Sun 27 Dec | 43% | 26% | 31% | 1–2 | |
| Wed 30 Dec | 50% | 23% | 27% | 1–2 | |
| Sun 3 Jan | 46% | 23% | 31% | 2–1 | |
| Wed 6 Jan | 37% | 25% | 39% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 16 Jan | 46% | 25% | 29% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 23 Jan | 28% | 24% | 48% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 30 Jan | 47% | 25% | 28% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 6 Feb | 27% | 23% | 50% | 2–1 | |
| Wed 10 Feb | 32% | 23% | 44% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 20 Feb | 64% | 20% | 16% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 27 Feb | 36% | 25% | 40% | 2–1 | |
| Wed 3 Mar | 57% | 23% | 20% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 13 Mar | 22% | 24% | 53% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 20 Mar | 36% | 26% | 37% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 10 Apr | 49% | 24% | 27% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 17 Apr | 25% | 23% | 52% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 24 Apr | 29% | 23% | 48% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 1 May | 24% | 22% | 54% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 8 May | 39% | 24% | 37% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 15 May | 45% | 26% | 29% | 2–1 | |
| Sun 23 May | 25% | 23% | 52% | 2–1 | |
| Sun 30 May | 43% | 24% | 33% | 2–1 |
Squad & spending
€1.08bnSquad value · 3rd
€407mSummer spend
−€41mSummer net spend
From Transfermarkt. Shown for context only: in testing, money added nothing beyond results and expected goals, so it isn't a model input (why).
Results vs predictions
Questions
Where will Chelsea finish in the 2026-27 Premier League?
Our simulations of the remaining fixtures give Chelsea an average finish of 9.6 with 53 points. Title chance 0%, top four 11%, relegation 3%.
Will Chelsea finish in the top four?
We give Chelsea a 11% chance of a top-four finish (top five: 18%).
What is Chelsea's next match?
Chelsea vs Bournemouth on Saturday 10 October 2026. We give Chelsea a 38% chance of winning; the predicted score is 1–2.