Manchester City v Liverpool prediction
52%Man City win
23%Draw
25%Liverpool win
2.0–1.3Expected goals
65%Over 2.5 goals
65%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| MCI ↓ LIV → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Man City's goals down the side, Liverpool's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Man City form
WWWWWL latest first
Liverpool form
WDWDDD latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Liverpool | 1–2 | 
Man City |
| 2025-26 |
Man City | 3–0 |
Liverpool |
| 2024-25 |
Man City | 0–2 |
Liverpool |
| 2024-25 |
Liverpool | 2–0 |
Man City |
| 2023-24 |
Liverpool | 1–1 |
Man City |
| 2023-24 |
Man City | 1–1 |
Liverpool |