Fixtures/October 2026/10–12 October
Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur prediction
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Our analysis
Our model makes Manchester United clear favourites at home to Tottenham Hotspur at Old Trafford on Saturday 10 October 2026: Man United 57%, draw 22%, Tottenham 21%. The most likely score is 2–1, with 3.3 goals expected in total (64% chance of three or more; 62% that both teams score).
Man United are 12th on 5 points from 5 games and have won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 6 league games. Over their last 10 they created 2.2 expected goals a game and allowed 1.3. Tottenham are 20th on 2 points from 5 games and have won 1 and drawn 2 of their last 6 league games. Over their last 10 they created 1.3 expected goals a game and allowed 1.4.
In their last 6 Premier League meetings, Man United won 1, Tottenham won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent finished Man United 2–0 Tottenham (2025-26).
Our AI second opinion, Jev, agrees: it rates Man United win most likely at 63% (Man United 63%, draw 23%, Tottenham 14%).
Second opinions
| Source | Man United | Draw | Tottenham | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stats model | 57% | 22% | 21% | 2–1 |
| Jev (AI) | 63% | 23% | 14% | 2–1 |
| Consensus | 60% | 23% | 17% | – |
Jev is an AI model from TypeSafe AI. It reads a written briefing (the table, each side's last 12 results with expected goals, home and away records, head-to-head) and answers three yes/no questions. It never sees our model or the odds. Consensus averages the two. Bookmaker closing odds, with the margin removed, appear after the game as a benchmark.
Every scoreline
| MUN ↓ TOT → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Man United's goals down the side, Tottenham's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Man United form
DLDWLW latest first
Tottenham form
LDDLLW latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Man United | 2–0 | 
Tottenham |
| 2025-26 |
Tottenham | 2–2 |
Man United |
| 2024-25 |
Tottenham | 1–0 |
Man United |
| 2024-25 |
Man United | 0–3 |
Tottenham |
| 2023-24 |
Man United | 2–2 |
Tottenham |
| 2023-24 |
Tottenham | 2–0 |
Man United |
Questions
Who will win Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our statistical model says Manchester United are favourites: Man United win 57%, draw 22%, Tottenham win 21%. The AI model Jev gives 63%, 23% and 14%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Man United 2–1 Tottenham is our predicted score, with 2.1–1.2 expected goals. The chance of over 2.5 goals is 64% and of both teams scoring 62%.
When and where is Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Saturday 10 October 2026, kick-off 17:30 UK time, at Old Trafford. It's a Premier League match.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur?
The last meeting was Manchester United 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur in 2025-26. Recent Premier League meetings: Man United 2–0 Tottenham (2025-26); Tottenham 2–2 Man United (2025-26); Tottenham 1–0 Man United (2024-25); Man United 0–3 Tottenham (2024-25); Man United 2–2 Tottenham (2023-24).