Clubs/Manchester United
Premier League 2026-27 · Old Trafford
Manchester United
12th with 5 points from 5 games (W1 D2 L2, goals 8–8). Recent form DLDWLW
55Predicted points
8.6Average finish
0%Title
16%Top four
2%Relegation
Where Man United could finish
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Final position across 10,000 simulated seasons. Red = most likely.
Next fixtures
21
Tottenham
57%22%21%
Sun 18 Oct 14:00
Leeds
21
Man United
42%26%32%
Sun 25 Oct 14:00
Man United
21
Bournemouth
42%25%33%
Sat 31 Oct 12:30
Chelsea
21
Man United
40%24%36%
Sun 8 Nov 16:30
Man United
21
Aston Villa
54%23%23%
| Date | Opponent | Win | Draw | Lose | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 22 Nov | 
at Liverpool |
28% | 24% | 48% | 2–1 |
| Sat 28 Nov | 
v Brentford |
47% | 24% | 29% | 2–1 |
| Wed 2 Dec | 
at Newcastle |
37% | 25% | 39% | 2–1 |
| Sat 5 Dec | 
v Coventry |
60% | 23% | 17% | 2–1 |
| Sat 12 Dec | 
at Palace |
41% | 25% | 33% | 1–2 |
| Sat 19 Dec | 
at Arsenal |
17% | 23% | 60% | 2–0 |
| Sun 27 Dec | 
v Nottm Forest |
51% | 25% | 24% | 2–1 |
| Wed 30 Dec | 
v Sunderland |
49% | 26% | 25% | 2–1 |
| Sat 2 Jan | 
at Brighton |
29% | 25% | 46% | 2–1 |
| Thu 7 Jan |
v Newcastle |
51% | 23% | 26% | 2–1 |
| Sat 16 Jan |
at Aston Villa |
40% | 25% | 35% | 1–2 |
| Sat 23 Jan |
v Liverpool |
41% | 25% | 35% | 2–1 |
| Sat 30 Jan |
at Brentford |
34% | 25% | 41% | 2–1 |
| Sat 6 Feb |
v Chelsea |
50% | 23% | 27% | 2–1 |
| Wed 10 Feb |
v Brighton |
42% | 25% | 33% | 2–1 |
| Sat 20 Feb |
at Nottm Forest |
38% | 27% | 35% | 1–2 |
| Sat 27 Feb |
v Arsenal |
26% | 26% | 48% | 1–2 |
| Wed 3 Mar |
at Sunderland |
37% | 27% | 36% | 1–2 |
| Sat 13 Mar | 
v Everton |
49% | 26% | 25% | 2–1 |
| Sat 20 Mar | 
at Man City |
22% | 23% | 56% | 2–1 |
| Sat 10 Apr | 
v Hull |
53% | 25% | 22% | 2–1 |
| Sat 17 Apr | 
at Ipswich |
54% | 23% | 23% | 1–2 |
| Sat 24 Apr |
v Palace |
55% | 23% | 22% | 2–1 |
| Sat 1 May |
at Coventry |
47% | 26% | 27% | 1–2 |
| Sat 8 May |
at Bournemouth |
29% | 25% | 46% | 2–1 |
| Sat 15 May |
v Leeds |
44% | 26% | 30% | 2–1 |
| Sun 23 May |
at Tottenham |
43% | 25% | 32% | 1–2 |
| Sun 30 May | 
v Fulham |
53% | 24% | 23% | 2–1 |
Squad & spending
€923mSquad value · 5th
€173mSummer spend
€118mSummer net spend
From Transfermarkt. Shown for context only: in testing, money added nothing beyond results and expected goals, so it isn't a model input (why).
Results vs predictions
11
Man United
34%27%40%
Predicted 1–2 Missed
Sun 13 Sep FT
Man United
01
Man City
31%25%44%
Predicted 1–2 Right result
Sun 6 Sep FT
Everton
22
Man United
37%27%36%
Predicted 2–1 Missed
Sun 30 Aug FT
Man United
52
Ipswich
70%18%12%
Predicted 2–0 Right result
Sat 22 Aug FT
Hull
20
Man United
27%25%48%
Predicted 1–2 Missed
Questions
Where will Manchester United finish in the 2026-27 Premier League?
Our simulations of the remaining fixtures give Manchester United an average finish of 8.6 with 55 points. Title chance 0%, top four 16%, relegation 2%.
Will Manchester United finish in the top four?
We give Manchester United a 16% chance of a top-four finish (top five: 25%).
What is Manchester United's next match?
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday 10 October 2026. We give Man United a 57% chance of winning; the predicted score is 2–1.