Newcastle United v Leeds United prediction
39%Newcastle win
26%Draw
35%Leeds win
1.6–1.5Expected goals
60%Over 2.5 goals
63%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 21:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| NEW ↓ LEE → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Newcastle's goals down the side, Leeds's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Newcastle form
WLDWDL latest first
Leeds form
DWDDWL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 
Leeds | 4–1 | 
Newcastle |
| 2025-26 |
Newcastle | 4–3 |
Leeds |
| 2025-26 |
Leeds | 0–0 |
Newcastle |
| 2022-23 |
Leeds | 2–2 |
Newcastle |
| 2022-23 |
Newcastle | 0–0 |
Leeds |
| 2021-22 |
Leeds | 0–1 |
Newcastle |