Clubs/Leeds United
Premier League 2026-27 · Elland Road
Leeds United
5th with 9 points from 5 games (W2 D3 L0, goals 7–3). Recent form DWDDWL
57Predicted points
7.4Average finish
1%Title
24%Top four
1%Relegation
Where Leeds could finish
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Final position across 10,000 simulated seasons. Red = most likely.
Next fixtures
| Date | Opponent | Win | Draw | Lose | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 21 Nov | 35% | 25% | 40% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 28 Nov | 58% | 24% | 18% | 2–0 | |
| Wed 2 Dec | 21% | 24% | 55% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 5 Dec | 65% | 21% | 15% | 2–0 | |
| Sat 12 Dec | 27% | 25% | 48% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 19 Dec | 50% | 26% | 24% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 26 Dec | 38% | 27% | 35% | 1–2 | |
| Tue 29 Dec | 38% | 29% | 33% | 0–1 | |
| Fri 1 Jan | 47% | 28% | 26% | 1–0 | |
| Wed 6 Jan | 32% | 26% | 42% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 16 Jan | 42% | 26% | 32% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 23 Jan | 48% | 24% | 28% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 30 Jan | 45% | 28% | 27% | 0–1 | |
| Sat 6 Feb | 40% | 26% | 33% | 2–1 | |
| Wed 10 Feb | 35% | 29% | 36% | 1–0 | |
| Sat 20 Feb | 51% | 25% | 24% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 27 Feb | 38% | 28% | 35% | 1–2 | |
| Wed 3 Mar | 50% | 27% | 23% | 1–0 | |
| Sat 13 Mar | 40% | 27% | 33% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 20 Mar | 35% | 26% | 39% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 10 Apr | 49% | 27% | 25% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 17 Apr | 33% | 26% | 42% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 24 Apr | 39% | 26% | 35% | 2–1 | |
| Sat 1 May | 52% | 25% | 23% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 8 May | 25% | 28% | 47% | 0–1 | |
| Sat 15 May | 30% | 26% | 44% | 2–1 | |
| Sun 23 May | 47% | 27% | 25% | 1–0 | |
| Sun 30 May | 40% | 27% | 34% | 1–2 |
Squad & spending
€408mSquad value · 15th
€100mSummer spend
€65mSummer net spend
From Transfermarkt. Shown for context only: in testing, money added nothing beyond results and expected goals, so it isn't a model input (why).
Results vs predictions
Questions
Where will Leeds United finish in the 2026-27 Premier League?
Our simulations of the remaining fixtures give Leeds United an average finish of 7.4 with 57 points. Title chance 1%, top four 24%, relegation 1%.
Will Leeds United finish in the top four?
We give Leeds United a 24% chance of a top-four finish (top five: 36%).
What is Leeds United's next match?
Arsenal vs Leeds United on Saturday 10 October 2026. We give Leeds a 16% chance of winning; the predicted score is 2–0.