Aston Villa v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
33%Aston Villa win
26%Draw
42%Brighton win
1.4–1.6Expected goals
59%Over 2.5 goals
62%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| AVL ↓ BHA → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Aston Villa's goals down the side, Brighton's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Aston Villa form
WLDLLW latest first
Brighton form
WWDLWL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 
Brighton | 4–0 | 
Aston Villa |
| 2025-26 |
Aston Villa | 1–0 |
Brighton |
| 2025-26 |
Brighton | 3–4 |
Aston Villa |
| 2024-25 |
Brighton | 0–3 |
Aston Villa |
| 2024-25 |
Aston Villa | 2–2 |
Brighton |
| 2023-24 |
Brighton | 1–0 |
Aston Villa |