Clubs/Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier League 2026-27 · Brighton Community Stadium
Brighton & Hove Albion
3rd with 10 points from 5 games (W3 D1 L1, goals 16–5). Recent form WWDLWL
62Predicted points
5.4Average finish
2%Title
48%Top four
0%Relegation
Where Brighton could finish
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Final position across 10,000 simulated seasons. Red = most likely.
Next fixtures
12
Brighton
34%27%38%
Sun 18 Oct 14:00
Brighton
21
Palace
56%23%21%
Sun 25 Oct 14:00
Liverpool
21
Brighton
46%25%29%
Sat 31 Oct 15:00
Man City
21
Brighton
53%24%23%
Sun 8 Nov 14:00
Brighton
21
Brentford
49%24%27%
| Date | Opponent | Win | Draw | Lose | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 22 Nov | 
at Hull |
41% | 28% | 31% | 1–2 |
| Sun 29 Nov | 
v Newcastle |
52% | 23% | 25% | 2–1 |
| Wed 2 Dec | 
at Bournemouth |
31% | 25% | 44% | 2–1 |
| Sat 5 Dec | 
at Nottm Forest |
39% | 27% | 34% | 1–2 |
| Sat 12 Dec | 
v Everton |
50% | 26% | 24% | 2–1 |
| Sat 19 Dec | 
v Ipswich |
68% | 19% | 13% | 2–0 |
| Sat 26 Dec | 
at Fulham |
41% | 27% | 32% | 1–2 |
| Tue 29 Dec | 
at Tottenham |
45% | 25% | 30% | 1–2 |
| Sat 2 Jan | 
v Man United |
46% | 25% | 29% | 2–1 |
| Tue 5 Jan |
v Bournemouth |
44% | 25% | 31% | 2–1 |
| Sat 16 Jan |
at Brentford |
35% | 25% | 39% | 2–1 |
| Sat 23 Jan |
v Man City |
35% | 26% | 40% | 1–2 |
| Sat 30 Jan |
at Newcastle |
38% | 25% | 37% | 1–2 |
| Sat 6 Feb |
v Hull |
54% | 25% | 21% | 2–1 |
| Wed 10 Feb |
at Man United |
33% | 25% | 42% | 2–1 |
| Sat 20 Feb |
v Tottenham |
58% | 22% | 19% | 2–1 |
| Sat 27 Feb |
at Ipswich |
55% | 23% | 21% | 1–2 |
| Wed 3 Mar |
v Fulham |
54% | 24% | 22% | 2–1 |
| Sat 13 Mar | 
at Leeds |
33% | 27% | 40% | 2–1 |
| Sat 20 Mar | 
v Coventry |
61% | 23% | 16% | 2–0 |
| Sat 10 Apr | 
at Aston Villa |
42% | 26% | 33% | 1–2 |
| Sat 17 Apr | 
v Chelsea |
52% | 23% | 25% | 2–1 |
| Sat 24 Apr |
at Everton |
38% | 28% | 34% | 1–2 |
| Sat 1 May |
v Nottm Forest |
52% | 25% | 23% | 2–1 |
| Sat 8 May |
v Sunderland |
51% | 26% | 23% | 2–1 |
| Sat 15 May |
at Palace |
43% | 26% | 32% | 1–2 |
| Sun 23 May |
v Liverpool |
42% | 25% | 33% | 2–1 |
| Sun 30 May | 
at Arsenal |
18% | 24% | 58% | 2–0 |
Squad & spending
€604mSquad value · 8th
€180mSummer spend
−€12mSummer net spend
From Transfermarkt. Shown for context only: in testing, money added nothing beyond results and expected goals, so it isn't a model input (why).
Results vs predictions
30
Arsenal
24%26%50%
Predicted 1–2 Missed
Sun 13 Sep FT
Coventry
05
Brighton
31%27%41%
Predicted 1–2 Right result
Sat 5 Sep FT
Brighton
11
Leeds
44%26%30%
Predicted 2–1 Missed
Sun 30 Aug FT
Chelsea
43
Brighton
41%25%34%
Predicted 2–1 Right result
Sun 23 Aug FT
Brighton
40
Aston Villa
45%26%30%
Predicted 2–1 Right result
Questions
Where will Brighton & Hove Albion finish in the 2026-27 Premier League?
Our simulations of the remaining fixtures give Brighton & Hove Albion an average finish of 5.4 with 62 points. Title chance 2%, top four 48%, relegation 0%.
Will Brighton & Hove Albion finish in the top four?
We give Brighton & Hove Albion a 48% chance of a top-four finish (top five: 61%).
What is Brighton & Hove Albion's next match?
Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday 10 October 2026. We give Brighton a 38% chance of winning; the predicted score is 1–2.