Fixtures/October 2026/23–25 October
Aston Villa v Manchester City prediction
25%Aston Villa win
24%Draw
51%Man City win
1.3–1.9Expected goals
62%Over 2.5 goals
62%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 21:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| AVL ↓ MCI → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Aston Villa's goals down the side, Man City's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Aston Villa form
WLDLLW latest first
Man City form
WWWWWL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Man City | 1–2 | 
Aston Villa |
| 2025-26 |
Aston Villa | 1–0 |
Man City |
| 2024-25 |
Man City | 2–1 |
Aston Villa |
| 2024-25 |
Aston Villa | 2–1 |
Man City |
| 2023-24 |
Man City | 4–1 |
Aston Villa |
| 2023-24 |
Aston Villa | 1–0 |
Man City |