Chelsea v Arsenal prediction
22%Chelsea win
24%Draw
53%Arsenal win
1.2–1.9Expected goals
59%Over 2.5 goals
59%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| CHE ↓ ARS → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Chelsea's goals down the side, Arsenal's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Chelsea form
LDLWWL latest first
Arsenal form
LWWWWW latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 
Arsenal | 2–1 | 
Chelsea |
| 2025-26 |
Arsenal | 2–1 |
Chelsea |
| 2025-26 |
Chelsea | 1–1 |
Arsenal |
| 2024-25 |
Arsenal | 1–0 |
Chelsea |
| 2024-25 |
Chelsea | 1–1 |
Arsenal |
| 2023-24 |
Arsenal | 5–0 |
Chelsea |