Clubs/Arsenal
Premier League 2026-27 · Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
2nd with 12 points from 5 games (W4 D0 L1, goals 8–4). Recent form LWWWWW
78Predicted points
1.6Average finish
56%Title
98%Top four
0%Relegation
Where Arsenal could finish
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Final position across 10,000 simulated seasons. Red = most likely.
Next fixtures
| Date | Opponent | Win | Draw | Lose | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 21 Nov | 54% | 25% | 22% | 1–2 | |
| Sun 29 Nov | 50% | 26% | 24% | 2–1 | |
| Wed 2 Dec | 51% | 26% | 24% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 5 Dec | 60% | 23% | 17% | 0–2 | |
| Sat 12 Dec | 58% | 24% | 18% | 2–0 | |
| Sat 19 Dec | 60% | 23% | 17% | 2–0 | |
| Sun 27 Dec | 57% | 24% | 18% | 0–2 | |
| Wed 30 Dec | 55% | 26% | 19% | 0–1 | |
| Sat 2 Jan | 80% | 14% | 6% | 2–0 | |
| Tue 5 Jan | 63% | 22% | 15% | 2–0 | |
| Sat 16 Jan | 55% | 27% | 18% | 0–1 | |
| Sat 23 Jan | 66% | 20% | 13% | 2–0 | |
| Sat 30 Jan | 37% | 28% | 35% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 6 Feb | 57% | 24% | 19% | 2–1 | |
| Wed 10 Feb | 69% | 20% | 11% | 0–2 | |
| Sat 20 Feb | 67% | 21% | 12% | 2–0 | |
| Sat 27 Feb | 48% | 26% | 26% | 1–2 | |
| Wed 3 Mar | 70% | 19% | 11% | 2–0 | |
| Sat 13 Mar | 53% | 24% | 22% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 20 Mar | 64% | 23% | 13% | 2–0 | |
| Sat 10 Apr | 62% | 24% | 14% | 0–2 | |
| Sat 17 Apr | 69% | 20% | 12% | 2–0 | |
| Sat 24 Apr | 46% | 27% | 27% | 1–2 | |
| Sat 1 May | 71% | 18% | 10% | 2–0 | |
| Sat 8 May | 47% | 28% | 25% | 0–1 | |
| Sat 15 May | 66% | 22% | 13% | 2–0 | |
| Sun 23 May | 51% | 28% | 21% | 0–1 | |
| Sun 30 May | 58% | 24% | 18% | 2–0 |
Squad & spending
€1.33bnSquad value · 2nd
€227mSummer spend
€92mSummer net spend
From Transfermarkt. Shown for context only: in testing, money added nothing beyond results and expected goals, so it isn't a model input (why).
Results vs predictions
Questions
Where will Arsenal finish in the 2026-27 Premier League?
Our simulations of the remaining fixtures give Arsenal an average finish of 1.6 with 78 points. Title chance 56%, top four 98%, relegation 0%.
Will Arsenal finish in the top four?
We give Arsenal a 98% chance of a top-four finish (top five: 99%).
What is Arsenal's next match?
Arsenal vs Leeds United on Saturday 10 October 2026. We give Arsenal a 60% chance of winning; the predicted score is 2–0.