Chelsea v Manchester City prediction
29%Chelsea win
23%Draw
48%Man City win
1.5–2.0Expected goals
67%Over 2.5 goals
68%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| CHE ↓ MCI → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Chelsea's goals down the side, Man City's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Chelsea form
LDLWWL latest first
Man City form
WWWWWL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Chelsea | 0–3 | 
Man City |
| 2025-26 |
Man City | 1–1 |
Chelsea |
| 2024-25 |
Man City | 3–1 |
Chelsea |
| 2024-25 |
Chelsea | 0–2 |
Man City |
| 2023-24 |
Man City | 1–1 |
Chelsea |
| 2023-24 |
Chelsea | 4–4 |
Man City |