Leeds United v Arsenal prediction
25%Leeds win
28%Draw
47%Arsenal win
1.1–1.5Expected goals
48%Over 2.5 goals
52%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| LEE ↓ ARS → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Leeds's goals down the side, Arsenal's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Leeds form
DWDDWL latest first
Arsenal form
LWWWWW latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Leeds | 0–4 | 
Arsenal |
| 2025-26 |
Arsenal | 5–0 |
Leeds |
| 2022-23 |
Arsenal | 4–1 |
Leeds |
| 2022-23 |
Leeds | 0–1 |
Arsenal |
| 2021-22 |
Arsenal | 2–1 |
Leeds |
| 2021-22 |
Leeds | 1–4 |
Arsenal |