Fixtures/January 2027/30 January
Manchester City v Arsenal prediction
35%Man City win
28%Draw
37%Arsenal win
1.4–1.4Expected goals
52%Over 2.5 goals
57%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| MCI ↓ ARS → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Man City's goals down the side, Arsenal's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Man City form
WWWWWL latest first
Arsenal form
LWWWWW latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Man City | 2–1 | 
Arsenal |
| 2025-26 |
Arsenal | 1–1 |
Man City |
| 2024-25 |
Arsenal | 5–1 |
Man City |
| 2024-25 |
Man City | 2–2 |
Arsenal |
| 2023-24 |
Man City | 0–0 |
Arsenal |
| 2023-24 |
Arsenal | 1–0 |
Man City |