Manchester City v Aston Villa prediction
65%Man City win
20%Draw
15%Aston Villa win
2.3–1.1Expected goals
65%Over 2.5 goals
60%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| MCI ↓ AVL → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Man City's goals down the side, Aston Villa's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Man City form
WWWWWL latest first
Aston Villa form
WLDLLW latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Man City | 1–2 | 
Aston Villa |
| 2025-26 |
Aston Villa | 1–0 |
Man City |
| 2024-25 |
Man City | 2–1 |
Aston Villa |
| 2024-25 |
Aston Villa | 2–1 |
Man City |
| 2023-24 |
Man City | 4–1 |
Aston Villa |
| 2023-24 |
Aston Villa | 1–0 |
Man City |