Manchester City v Manchester United prediction
56%Man City win
23%Draw
22%Man United win
2.1–1.2Expected goals
65%Over 2.5 goals
63%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| MCI ↓ MUN → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Man City's goals down the side, Man United's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Man City form
WWWWWL latest first
Man United form
DLDWLW latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 
Man United | 0–1 | 
Man City |
| 2025-26 |
Man United | 2–0 |
Man City |
| 2025-26 |
Man City | 3–0 |
Man United |
| 2024-25 |
Man United | 0–0 |
Man City |
| 2024-25 |
Man City | 1–2 |
Man United |
| 2023-24 |
Man City | 3–1 |
Man United |