Manchester United v Leeds United prediction
44%Man United win
26%Draw
30%Leeds win
1.7–1.3Expected goals
58%Over 2.5 goals
61%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 21:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| MUN ↓ LEE → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Man United's goals down the side, Leeds's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Man United form
DLDWLW latest first
Leeds form
DWDDWL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Man United | 1–2 | 
Leeds |
| 2025-26 |
Leeds | 1–1 |
Man United |
| 2022-23 |
Leeds | 0–2 |
Man United |
| 2022-23 |
Man United | 2–2 |
Leeds |
| 2021-22 |
Leeds | 2–4 |
Man United |
| 2021-22 |
Man United | 5–1 |
Leeds |