Sunderland v Manchester City prediction
27%Sunderland win
26%Draw
47%Man City win
1.2–1.7Expected goals
55%Over 2.5 goals
58%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 19:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| SUN ↓ MCI → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Sunderland's goals down the side, Man City's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Sunderland form
LLDWLW latest first
Man City form
WWWWWL latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 
Man City | 5–3 | 
Sunderland |
| 2025-26 |
Sunderland | 0–0 |
Man City |
| 2025-26 |
Man City | 3–0 |
Sunderland |
| 2016-17 |
Sunderland | 0–2 |
Man City |
| 2016-17 |
Man City | 2–1 |
Sunderland |
| 2015-16 |
Sunderland | 0–1 |
Man City |