Clubs/Sunderland
Premier League 2026-27 · Stadium of Light
Sunderland
14th with 4 points from 5 games (W1 D1 L3, goals 6–10). Recent form LLDWLW
48Predicted points
12.5Average finish
0%Title
2%Top four
10%Relegation
Where Sunderland could finish
1234567891011121314151617181920
Final position across 10,000 simulated seasons. Red = most likely.
Next fixtures
12
Brighton
34%27%38%
Sun 18 Oct 14:00
Bournemouth
21
Sunderland
51%25%23%
Sun 25 Oct 16:30
Sunderland
10
Leeds
36%28%35%
Sat 31 Oct 15:00
Coventry
01
Sunderland
32%29%39%
Sun 8 Nov 14:00
Sunderland
21
Chelsea
41%26%33%
| Date | Opponent | Win | Draw | Lose | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 21 Nov | 
at Aston Villa |
33% | 27% | 40% | 2–1 |
| Sun 29 Nov | 
v Tottenham |
48% | 26% | 26% | 2–1 |
| Wed 2 Dec | 
at Liverpool |
22% | 25% | 53% | 2–1 |
| Sat 5 Dec | 
at Newcastle |
30% | 26% | 44% | 2–1 |
| Sat 12 Dec | 
v Nottm Forest |
43% | 28% | 29% | 1–0 |
| Sat 19 Dec | 
v Palace |
46% | 27% | 27% | 2–1 |
| Sat 26 Dec | 
at Everton |
30% | 29% | 41% | 1–0 |
| Wed 30 Dec | 
at Man United |
25% | 26% | 49% | 2–1 |
| Sat 2 Jan | 
v Hull |
44% | 29% | 27% | 1–0 |
| Tue 5 Jan |
v Liverpool |
33% | 27% | 40% | 1–2 |
| Sat 16 Jan |
at Chelsea |
29% | 25% | 46% | 2–1 |
| Sat 23 Jan |
v Coventry |
51% | 27% | 22% | 1–0 |
| Sat 30 Jan |
at Tottenham |
36% | 27% | 37% | 2–1 |
| Sat 6 Feb |
v Aston Villa |
45% | 27% | 28% | 2–1 |
| Wed 10 Feb |
at Hull |
33% | 30% | 38% | 1–0 |
| Sat 20 Feb |
v Everton |
41% | 29% | 30% | 1–0 |
| Sat 27 Feb |
at Palace |
34% | 27% | 39% | 2–1 |
| Wed 3 Mar |
v Man United |
36% | 27% | 37% | 1–2 |
| Sat 13 Mar | 
v Brentford |
39% | 27% | 34% | 2–1 |
| Sat 20 Mar | 
at Arsenal |
13% | 23% | 64% | 2–0 |
| Sat 10 Apr | 
v Ipswich |
58% | 24% | 18% | 2–1 |
| Sat 17 Apr | 
at Fulham |
32% | 28% | 39% | 1–0 |
| Sat 24 Apr |
at Nottm Forest |
31% | 29% | 41% | 1–0 |
| Sat 1 May |
v Newcastle |
42% | 26% | 32% | 2–1 |
| Sat 8 May |
at Brighton |
23% | 26% | 51% | 2–1 |
| Sat 15 May |
v Bournemouth |
34% | 27% | 38% | 1–2 |
| Sun 23 May |
at Leeds |
25% | 27% | 47% | 1–0 |
| Sun 30 May | 
v Man City |
27% | 26% | 47% | 1–2 |
Squad & spending
€421mSquad value · 14th
€71mSummer spend
€38mSummer net spend
From Transfermarkt. Shown for context only: in testing, money added nothing beyond results and expected goals, so it isn't a model input (why).
Results vs predictions
53
Sunderland
62%23%15%
Predicted 2–0 Right result
Sat 12 Sep FT
Sunderland
02
Arsenal
19%27%54%
Predicted 0–1 Right result
Sat 5 Sep FT
Brentford
11
Sunderland
49%26%25%
Predicted 2–1 Missed
Sun 30 Aug FT
Sunderland
10
Fulham
40%29%31%
Predicted 1–0 Exact score
Sat 22 Aug FT
Ipswich
21
Sunderland
26%27%46%
Predicted 0–1 Missed
Questions
Where will Sunderland finish in the 2026-27 Premier League?
Our simulations of the remaining fixtures give Sunderland an average finish of 12.5 with 48 points. Title chance 0%, top four 2%, relegation 10%.
Will Sunderland be relegated?
We put Sunderland's relegation chance at 10%, from 10,000 simulated seasons starting from the current table.
What is Sunderland's next match?
Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday 10 October 2026. We give Sunderland a 34% chance of winning; the predicted score is 1–2.