Sunderland v Manchester United prediction
36%Sunderland win
27%Draw
37%Man United win
1.4–1.4Expected goals
54%Over 2.5 goals
59%Both teams score
Updated 2026-10-02 21:15 UTC; updates until kick-off, then locks.
Every scoreline
| SUN ↓ MUN → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Chance (%) of each exact score: Sunderland's goals down the side, Man United's across. Red outline = the single most likely score. Our headline pick is the likeliest score for the likeliest result.
Sunderland form
LLDWLW latest first
Man United form
DLDWLW latest first
Head to head
| Season | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 
Sunderland | 0–0 | 
Man United |
| 2025-26 |
Man United | 2–0 |
Sunderland |
| 2016-17 |
Sunderland | 0–3 |
Man United |
| 2016-17 |
Man United | 3–1 |
Sunderland |
| 2015-16 |
Sunderland | 2–1 |
Man United |
| 2015-16 |
Man United | 3–0 |
Sunderland |